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16th CTWF International Symposium on Advances in Seasonal to Decadal Prediction

发布时间：2017-05-05
Due to the considerable socio-economic and ecological impacts of the climate, many efforts have been made to predict year-to-year climate variability (e.g., ENSO) and climate changes over the past decades. In particular, advanced data assimilation techniques have been applied to weather-climate forecasting systems in order to generate realistic ensemble initial conditions for improved predictive skill. However, major challenges remain in reducing uncertainties in the initial conditions and errors in forecast models and external forcing, and in assessing predictability limit associated with multi-scale climate processes and nonlinearity. In this context, Advances in seasonal to decadal prediction have been selected as the topic for this year’s international conference of CAS-TWAS-WMO Forum on Climate Science (CTWF).

 

The main goal of the conference is to bring together experts to exchange ideas, discuss scientific problems in depth, and consider suitable solutions to seasonal to decadal prediciton issues through coordinated efforts. The meeting will consist of invited lectures followed by plenary discussions. There will also be sessions with contributed oral or poster presentations. 

 

Topics :

 

Novel data assimilation and ensemble forecast approaches for improving S2D predictions 

Impact of model systematic error on forecasts, and approaches to alleviate them 

Mechanisms for atmosphere-ocean variability 

Understanding of the fundamental limits of predictability 

Atmosphere-ocean observing system evaluation for S2D predictions 

Practical application of S2D predictions 

 

Important Dates:

 

Deadline for On-line Registration: July 1, 2017 

Deadline for Abstract Submission: July 1, 2017

Notice of Abstract Acceptance: July 31, 2017


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