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Briefing: Future climate projections allow engineering planning

Authors:

John Abraham PhD

School of Engineering, University of St. Thomas, St. Paul, MN, USA (corresponding author: jpabraham@stthomas.edu)

Lijing Cheng PhD

International Center for Climate and Environmental Sciences, Institute for Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Michael E. Mann PhD

Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA, USA

Abstract:

It is well established that the climate is changing and much of the change is as a result of human greenhouse gas emissions. Effective strategies for adaptation or mitigation are less agreed on. From an engineering perspective, adaptation strategies require reliable expectations of the climate changes expected over the lifetime of current projects. Such projections are now possible with state-of-the-art observations and computer models that provide information over the next century and beyond. The best estimates suggest that global surface temperatures will increase by approximately 5°C (9°F) over pre-industrial temperatures or approximately 4°C (7°F) over current temperatures by the year 2100.

Key words:

buildings, structures & design/safety & hazards/weather

Citation:

Abraham, Cheng and Mann, Briefing: Future climate projections allow engineering planning, Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers, Forensic Engineering, 170, May 2017, Issue FE2, Pages 54–57,http://dx.doi.org/10.1680/jfoen.17.00002


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